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The models are based on extensive experimental data of microbial behavior in liquid microbiological media and food.

There can be no guarantee that predicted values will match those that would occur in any specific food system. Before the models could be used in such a manner, the user would have to validate the models for each specific food of interest.

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Thermal Death Models: Listeria monocytogenes in Simulated Beef Gravy

Input Conditions

Range: 55.0 to 65.0 °C
Range: 4.0 to 7.0
Range: 0.0 to 6.0 (% [g/dL])
Range: 0.00 to 3.00 (% [g/dL])
Range: 1.0 to 8.0
Line chart of data points for modeled log decline. Also available in a table format below the chart.
Modeled Decline
Log Decline Minutes
1.00 19.94
1.01 20.14
1.02 20.34
1.03 20.54
1.04 20.74
1.05 20.94
1.06 21.14
1.07 21.34
1.08 21.54
1.09 21.74
1.10 21.94
1.11 22.14
1.12 22.33
1.13 22.53
1.14 22.73
1.15 22.93
1.16 23.13
1.17 23.33
1.18 23.53
1.19 23.73
1.20 23.93
1.21 24.13
1.22 24.33
1.23 24.53
1.24 24.73
1.25 24.93
1.26 25.13
1.27 25.33
1.28 25.53
1.29 25.72
1.30 25.92
1.31 26.12
1.32 26.32
1.33 26.52
1.34 26.72
1.35 26.92
1.36 27.12
1.37 27.32
1.38 27.52
1.39 27.72
1.40 27.92
1.41 28.12
1.42 28.32
1.43 28.52
1.44 28.72
1.45 28.92
1.46 29.11
1.47 29.31
1.48 29.51
1.49 29.71
1.50 29.91
1.51 30.11
1.52 30.31
1.53 30.51
1.54 30.71
1.55 30.91
1.56 31.11
1.57 31.31
1.58 31.51
1.59 31.71
1.60 31.91
1.61 32.11
1.62 32.31
1.63 32.50
1.64 32.70
1.65 32.90
1.66 33.10
1.67 33.30
1.68 33.50
1.69 33.70
1.70 33.90
1.71 34.10
1.72 34.30
1.73 34.50
1.74 34.70
1.75 34.90
1.76 35.10
1.77 35.30
1.78 35.50
1.79 35.70
1.80 35.89
1.81 36.09
1.82 36.29
1.83 36.49
1.84 36.69
1.85 36.89
1.86 37.09
1.87 37.29
1.88 37.49
1.89 37.69
1.90 37.89
1.91 38.09
1.92 38.29
1.93 38.49
1.94 38.69
1.95 38.89
1.96 39.09
1.97 39.28
1.98 39.48
1.99 39.68
2.00 39.88
2.01 40.08
2.02 40.28
2.03 40.48
2.04 40.68
2.05 40.88
2.06 41.08
2.07 41.28
2.08 41.48
2.09 41.68
2.10 41.88
2.11 42.08
2.12 42.28
2.13 42.48
2.14 42.67
2.15 42.87
2.16 43.07
2.17 43.27
2.18 43.47
2.19 43.67
2.20 43.87
2.21 44.07
2.22 44.27
2.23 44.47
2.24 44.67
2.25 44.87
2.26 45.07
2.27 45.27
2.28 45.47
2.29 45.67
2.30 45.87
2.31 46.06
2.32 46.26
2.33 46.46
2.34 46.66
2.35 46.86
2.36 47.06
2.37 47.26
2.38 47.46
2.39 47.66
2.40 47.86
2.41 48.06
2.42 48.26
2.43 48.46
2.44 48.66
2.45 48.86
2.46 49.06
2.47 49.26
2.48 49.45
2.49 49.65
2.50 49.85
2.51 50.05
2.52 50.25
2.53 50.45
2.54 50.65
2.55 50.85
2.56 51.05
2.57 51.25
2.58 51.45
2.59 51.65
2.60 51.85
2.61 52.05
2.62 52.25
2.63 52.45
2.64 52.65
2.65 52.84
2.66 53.04
2.67 53.24
2.68 53.44
2.69 53.64
2.70 53.84
2.71 54.04
2.72 54.24
2.73 54.44
2.74 54.64
2.75 54.84
2.76 55.04
2.77 55.24
2.78 55.44
2.79 55.64
2.80 55.84
2.81 56.04
2.82 56.23
2.83 56.43
2.84 56.63
2.85 56.83
2.86 57.03
2.87 57.23
2.88 57.43
2.89 57.63
2.90 57.83
2.91 58.03
2.92 58.23
2.93 58.43
2.94 58.63
2.95 58.83
2.96 59.03
2.97 59.23
2.98 59.43
2.99 59.62
3.00 59.82
3.01 60.02
3.02 60.22
3.03 60.42
3.04 60.62
3.05 60.82
3.06 61.02
3.07 61.22
3.08 61.42
3.09 61.62
3.10 61.82
3.11 62.02
3.12 62.22
3.13 62.42
3.14 62.62
3.15 62.82
3.16 63.02
3.17 63.21
3.18 63.41
3.19 63.61
3.20 63.81
3.21 64.01
3.22 64.21
3.23 64.41
3.24 64.61
3.25 64.81
3.26 65.01
3.27 65.21
3.28 65.41
3.29 65.61
3.30 65.81
3.31 66.01
3.32 66.21
3.33 66.41
3.34 66.60
3.35 66.80
3.36 67.00
3.37 67.20
3.38 67.40
3.39 67.60
3.40 67.80
3.41 68.00
3.42 68.20
3.43 68.40
3.44 68.60
3.45 68.80
3.46 69.00
3.47 69.20
3.48 69.40
3.49 69.60
3.50 69.80
3.51 69.99
3.52 70.19
3.53 70.39
3.54 70.59
3.55 70.79
3.56 70.99
3.57 71.19
3.58 71.39
3.59 71.59
3.60 71.79
3.61 71.99
3.62 72.19
3.63 72.39
3.64 72.59
3.65 72.79
3.66 72.99
3.67 73.19
3.68 73.38
3.69 73.58
3.70 73.78
3.71 73.98
3.72 74.18
3.73 74.38
3.74 74.58
3.75 74.78
3.76 74.98
3.77 75.18
3.78 75.38
3.79 75.58
3.80 75.78
3.81 75.98
3.82 76.18
3.83 76.38
3.84 76.58
3.85 76.77
3.86 76.97
3.87 77.17
3.88 77.37
3.89 77.57
3.90 77.77
3.91 77.97
3.92 78.17
3.93 78.37
3.94 78.57
3.95 78.77
3.96 78.97
3.97 79.17
3.98 79.37
3.99 79.57
4.00 79.77
4.01 79.97
4.02 80.16
4.03 80.36
4.04 80.56
4.05 80.76
4.06 80.96
4.07 81.16
4.08 81.36
4.09 81.56
4.10 81.76
4.11 81.96
4.12 82.16
4.13 82.36
4.14 82.56
4.15 82.76
4.16 82.96
4.17 83.16
4.18 83.36
4.19 83.55
4.20 83.75
4.21 83.95
4.22 84.15
4.23 84.35
4.24 84.55
4.25 84.75
4.26 84.95
4.27 85.15
4.28 85.35
4.29 85.55
4.30 85.75
4.31 85.95
4.32 86.15
4.33 86.35
4.34 86.55
4.35 86.75
4.36 86.94
4.37 87.14
4.38 87.34
4.39 87.54
4.40 87.74
4.41 87.94
4.42 88.14
4.43 88.34
4.44 88.54
4.45 88.74
4.46 88.94
4.47 89.14
4.48 89.34
4.49 89.54
4.50 89.74
4.51 89.94
4.52 90.14
4.53 90.33
4.54 90.53
4.55 90.73
4.56 90.93
4.57 91.13
4.58 91.33
4.59 91.53
4.60 91.73
4.61 91.93
4.62 92.13
4.63 92.33
4.64 92.53
4.65 92.73
4.66 92.93
4.67 93.13
4.68 93.33
4.69 93.53
4.70 93.72
4.71 93.92
4.72 94.12
4.73 94.32
4.74 94.52
4.75 94.72
4.76 94.92
4.77 95.12
4.78 95.32
4.79 95.52
4.80 95.72
4.81 95.92
4.82 96.12
4.83 96.32
4.84 96.52
4.85 96.72
4.86 96.92
4.87 97.11
4.88 97.31
4.89 97.51
4.90 97.71
4.91 97.91
4.92 98.11
4.93 98.31
4.94 98.51
4.95 98.71
4.96 98.91
4.97 99.11
4.98 99.31
4.99 99.51
5.00 99.71
5.01 99.91
5.02 100.11
5.03 100.31
5.04 100.51
5.05 100.70
5.06 100.90
5.07 101.10
5.08 101.30
5.09 101.50
5.10 101.70
5.11 101.90
5.12 102.10
5.13 102.30
5.14 102.50
5.15 102.70
5.16 102.90
5.17 103.10
5.18 103.30
5.19 103.50
5.20 103.70
5.21 103.90
5.22 104.09
5.23 104.29
5.24 104.49
5.25 104.69
5.26 104.89
5.27 105.09
5.28 105.29
5.29 105.49
5.30 105.69
5.31 105.89
5.32 106.09
5.33 106.29
5.34 106.49
5.35 106.69
5.36 106.89
5.37 107.09
5.38 107.29
5.39 107.48
5.40 107.68
5.41 107.88
5.42 108.08
5.43 108.28
5.44 108.48
5.45 108.68
5.46 108.88
5.47 109.08
5.48 109.28
5.49 109.48
5.50 109.68
5.51 109.88
5.52 110.08
5.53 110.28
5.54 110.48
5.55 110.68
5.56 110.87
5.57 111.07
5.58 111.27
5.59 111.47
5.60 111.67
5.61 111.87
5.62 112.07
5.63 112.27
5.64 112.47
5.65 112.67
5.66 112.87
5.67 113.07
5.68 113.27
5.69 113.47
5.70 113.67
5.71 113.87
5.72 114.07
5.73 114.26
5.74 114.46
5.75 114.66
5.76 114.86
5.77 115.06
5.78 115.26
5.79 115.46
5.80 115.66
5.81 115.86
5.82 116.06
5.83 116.26
5.84 116.46
5.85 116.66
5.86 116.86
5.87 117.06
5.88 117.26
5.89 117.46
5.90 117.65
5.91 117.85
5.92 118.05
5.93 118.25
5.94 118.45
5.95 118.65
5.96 118.85
5.97 119.05
5.98 119.25
5.99 119.45
6.00 119.65
6.01 119.85
6.02 120.05
6.03 120.25
6.04 120.45
6.05 120.65
6.06 120.85
6.07 121.04
6.08 121.24
6.09 121.44
6.10 121.64
6.11 121.84
6.12 122.04
6.13 122.24
6.14 122.44
6.15 122.64
6.16 122.84
6.17 123.04
6.18 123.24
6.19 123.44
6.20 123.64
6.21 123.84
6.22 124.04
6.23 124.24
6.24 124.43
6.25 124.63
6.26 124.83
6.27 125.03
6.28 125.23
6.29 125.43
6.30 125.63
6.31 125.83
6.32 126.03
6.33 126.23
6.34 126.43
6.35 126.63
6.36 126.83
6.37 127.03
6.38 127.23
6.39 127.43
6.40 127.63
6.41 127.82
6.42 128.02
6.43 128.22
6.44 128.42
6.45 128.62
6.46 128.82
6.47 129.02
6.48 129.22
6.49 129.42
6.50 129.62
6.51 129.82
6.52 130.02
6.53 130.22
6.54 130.42
6.55 130.62
6.56 130.82
6.57 131.02
6.58 131.21
6.59 131.41
6.60 131.61
6.61 131.81
6.62 132.01
6.63 132.21
6.64 132.41
6.65 132.61
6.66 132.81
6.67 133.01
6.68 133.21
6.69 133.41
6.70 133.61
6.71 133.81
6.72 134.01
6.73 134.21
6.74 134.41
6.75 134.60
6.76 134.80
6.77 135.00
6.78 135.20
6.79 135.40
6.80 135.60
6.81 135.80
6.82 136.00
6.83 136.20
6.84 136.40
6.85 136.60
6.86 136.80
6.87 137.00
6.88 137.20
6.89 137.40
6.90 137.60
6.91 137.80
6.92 137.99
6.93 138.19
6.94 138.39
6.95 138.59
6.96 138.79
6.97 138.99
6.98 139.19
6.99 139.39
7.00 139.59
7.01 139.79
7.02 139.99
7.03 140.19
7.04 140.39
7.05 140.59
7.06 140.79
7.07 140.99
7.08 141.19
7.09 141.39
7.10 141.58
7.11 141.78
7.12 141.98
7.13 142.18
7.14 142.38
7.15 142.58
7.16 142.78
7.17 142.98
7.18 143.18
7.19 143.38
7.20 143.58
7.21 143.78
7.22 143.98
7.23 144.18
7.24 144.38
7.25 144.58
7.26 144.78
7.27 144.97
7.28 145.17
7.29 145.37
7.30 145.57
7.31 145.77
7.32 145.97
7.33 146.17
7.34 146.37
7.35 146.57
7.36 146.77
7.37 146.97
7.38 147.17
7.39 147.37
7.40 147.57
7.41 147.77
7.42 147.97
7.43 148.17
7.44 148.36
7.45 148.56
7.46 148.76
7.47 148.96
7.48 149.16
7.49 149.36
7.50 149.56
7.51 149.76
7.52 149.96
7.53 150.16
7.54 150.36
7.55 150.56
7.56 150.76
7.57 150.96
7.58 151.16
7.59 151.36
7.60 151.56
7.61 151.75
7.62 151.95
7.63 152.15
7.64 152.35
7.65 152.55
7.66 152.75
7.67 152.95
7.68 153.15
7.69 153.35
7.70 153.55
7.71 153.75
7.72 153.95
7.73 154.15
7.74 154.35
7.75 154.55
7.76 154.75
7.77 154.95
7.78 155.14
7.79 155.34
7.80 155.54
7.81 155.74
7.82 155.94
7.83 156.14
7.84 156.34
7.85 156.54
7.86 156.74
7.87 156.94
7.88 157.14
7.89 157.34
7.90 157.54
7.91 157.74
7.92 157.94
7.93 158.14
7.94 158.34
7.95 158.53
7.96 158.73
7.97 158.93
7.98 159.13
7.99 159.33
8.00 159.53
Source:

V.K. Juneja and B.S. Eblen, Predictive Thermal Inactivation Model for Listeria monocytogenes with Temperature, pH, NaCl, and Sodium Pyrophosphate as Controlling Factors: Journal of Food Protection (1999) 62(9):986-993 - http://wyndmoor.errc.ars.usda.gov/pubs/viewpub.aspx?iden=6718

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