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The models are based on extensive experimental data of microbial behavior in liquid microbiological media and food.

There can be no guarantee that predicted values will match those that would occur in any specific food system. Before the models could be used in such a manner, the user would have to validate the models for each specific food of interest.

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Growth Model: Salmonella spp. (Broth Culture, Aerobic)

Input Conditions

Range: 10 to 30 °C
Range: 5.6 to 6.8
Range: 0.5 to 4.5 (% [g/dL])
Range: 1 - 6
Range: 0 - 600 hours
Line chart of data points for modeled transfer. Also available in a table format below the chart.
Modeled Growth
Time (h) log10 cfu/ml
Mean LCL UCL
0 3.029 3.018 3.042
10 3.051 3.031 3.077
20 3.085 3.051 3.132
30 3.134 3.079 3.210
40 3.202 3.119 3.317
50 3.291 3.173 3.455
60 3.403 3.242 3.625
70 3.540 3.328 3.827
80 3.700 3.431 4.056
90 3.884 3.554 4.310
100 4.089 3.695 4.583
110 4.311 3.853 4.870
120 4.548 4.027 5.164
130 4.796 4.216 5.460
140 5.051 4.416 5.754
150 5.309 4.627 6.041
160 5.566 4.845 6.317
170 5.821 5.067 6.581
180 6.069 5.292 6.830
190 6.310 5.517 7.063
200 6.541 5.739 7.279
210 6.761 5.958 7.479
220 6.969 6.172 7.662
230 7.164 6.378 7.829
240 7.347 6.577 7.980
250 7.517 6.768 8.118
260 7.674 6.949 8.241
270 7.820 7.121 8.352
280 7.953 7.284 8.452
290 8.076 7.437 8.541
300 8.188 7.580 8.620
310 8.290 7.713 8.691
320 8.383 7.838 8.754
330 8.468 7.954 8.810
340 8.544 8.061 8.859
350 8.614 8.161 8.903
360 8.676 8.252 8.942
370 8.733 8.337 8.976
380 8.784 8.415 9.006
390 8.830 8.486 9.033
400 8.871 8.552 9.057
410 8.909 8.612 9.077
420 8.942 8.667 9.096
430 8.972 8.718 9.112
440 8.999 8.764 9.126
450 9.023 8.806 9.139
460 9.045 8.844 9.150
470 9.064 8.879 9.159
480 9.082 8.911 9.168
490 9.098 8.940 9.175
500 9.112 8.967 9.182
Source:

Gibson, A.M., Bratchell, N. and Roberts, T.A., Predicting microbial growth:  Growth responses of  Salmonellae  in a laboratory medium as affected by pH, sodium chloride, and storage temperature:  J. Food Microbiol. (1988) 6:155-178.