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Bacteria >> Model

The models are based on extensive experimental data of microbial behavior in liquid microbiological media and food.

There can be no guarantee that predicted values will match those that would occur in any specific food system. Before the models could be used in such a manner, the user would have to validate the models for each specific food of interest.

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Growth Model: Salmonella spp. (Broth Culture, Aerobic)

Input Conditions

Range: 10 to 30 °C
Range: 5.6 to 6.8
Range: 0.5 to 4.5 (% [g/dL])
Range: 1 - 6
Line chart of data points for modeled growth. Also available in a table format below the chart.
Modeled Growth
Time (h) log10 cfu/ml
Mean LCL UCL
0 3.029 3.018 3.042
1 3.030 3.019 3.045
2 3.032 3.020 3.048
3 3.034 3.021 3.051
4 3.036 3.022 3.054
5 3.038 3.024 3.058
6 3.041 3.025 3.061
7 3.043 3.026 3.065
8 3.045 3.028 3.069
9 3.048 3.029 3.073
10 3.051 3.031 3.077
11 3.054 3.032 3.082
12 3.056 3.034 3.086
13 3.060 3.036 3.091
14 3.063 3.038 3.096
15 3.066 3.040 3.102
16 3.069 3.042 3.107
17 3.073 3.044 3.113
18 3.077 3.046 3.119
19 3.081 3.048 3.125
20 3.085 3.051 3.132
21 3.089 3.053 3.138
22 3.093 3.056 3.145
23 3.098 3.058 3.152
24 3.102 3.061 3.160
25 3.107 3.064 3.168
26 3.112 3.067 3.176
27 3.117 3.070 3.184
28 3.123 3.073 3.192
29 3.128 3.076 3.201
30 3.134 3.079 3.210
31 3.140 3.083 3.220
32 3.146 3.086 3.229
33 3.152 3.090 3.239
34 3.159 3.094 3.249
35 3.165 3.098 3.260
36 3.172 3.102 3.271
37 3.179 3.106 3.282
38 3.186 3.110 3.293
39 3.194 3.115 3.305
40 3.202 3.119 3.317
41 3.210 3.124 3.330
42 3.218 3.129 3.342
43 3.226 3.134 3.355
44 3.235 3.139 3.369
45 3.243 3.144 3.382
46 3.252 3.150 3.396
47 3.262 3.155 3.410
48 3.271 3.161 3.425
49 3.281 3.167 3.440
50 3.291 3.173 3.455
51 3.301 3.179 3.471
52 3.311 3.185 3.487
53 3.322 3.192 3.503
54 3.333 3.198 3.519
55 3.344 3.205 3.536
56 3.355 3.212 3.554
57 3.367 3.219 3.571
58 3.379 3.227 3.589
59 3.391 3.234 3.607
60 3.403 3.242 3.625
61 3.416 3.249 3.644
62 3.428 3.257 3.663
63 3.441 3.266 3.683
64 3.455 3.274 3.702
65 3.468 3.282 3.722
66 3.482 3.291 3.743
67 3.496 3.300 3.763
68 3.510 3.309 3.784
69 3.525 3.318 3.805
70 3.540 3.328 3.827
71 3.555 3.337 3.848
72 3.570 3.347 3.870
73 3.585 3.357 3.893
74 3.601 3.367 3.915
75 3.617 3.377 3.938
76 3.633 3.388 3.961
77 3.650 3.398 3.985
78 3.666 3.409 4.008
79 3.683 3.420 4.032
80 3.700 3.431 4.056
81 3.718 3.443 4.081
82 3.735 3.454 4.105
83 3.753 3.466 4.130
84 3.771 3.478 4.155
85 3.790 3.490 4.181
86 3.808 3.503 4.206
87 3.827 3.515 4.232
88 3.846 3.528 4.258
89 3.865 3.541 4.284
90 3.884 3.554 4.310
91 3.904 3.567 4.337
92 3.924 3.580 4.363
93 3.944 3.594 4.390
94 3.964 3.608 4.417
95 3.984 3.622 4.445
96 4.005 3.636 4.472
97 4.025 3.650 4.500
98 4.046 3.665 4.527
99 4.067 3.680 4.555
100 4.089 3.695 4.583
101 4.110 3.710 4.611
102 4.132 3.725 4.640
103 4.154 3.740 4.668
104 4.176 3.756 4.696
105 4.198 3.772 4.725
106 4.220 3.787 4.754
107 4.243 3.803 4.783
108 4.266 3.820 4.811
109 4.288 3.836 4.840
110 4.311 3.853 4.870
111 4.334 3.869 4.899
112 4.358 3.886 4.928
113 4.381 3.903 4.957
114 4.405 3.921 4.987
115 4.428 3.938 5.016
116 4.452 3.955 5.045
117 4.476 3.973 5.075
118 4.500 3.991 5.104
119 4.524 4.009 5.134
120 4.548 4.027 5.164
121 4.573 4.045 5.193
122 4.597 4.064 5.223
123 4.622 4.082 5.253
124 4.646 4.101 5.282
125 4.671 4.120 5.312
126 4.696 4.139 5.342
127 4.721 4.158 5.371
128 4.746 4.177 5.401
129 4.771 4.196 5.430
130 4.796 4.216 5.460
131 4.821 4.235 5.490
132 4.847 4.255 5.519
133 4.872 4.275 5.549
134 4.897 4.295 5.578
135 4.923 4.315 5.607
136 4.948 4.335 5.637
137 4.974 4.355 5.666
138 4.999 4.375 5.695
139 5.025 4.396 5.725
140 5.051 4.416 5.754
141 5.076 4.437 5.783
142 5.102 4.458 5.812
143 5.128 4.479 5.841
144 5.154 4.500 5.869
145 5.179 4.521 5.898
146 5.205 4.542 5.927
147 5.231 4.563 5.955
148 5.257 4.584 5.984
149 5.283 4.606 6.012
150 5.309 4.627 6.041
151 5.334 4.648 6.069
152 5.360 4.670 6.097
153 5.386 4.692 6.125
154 5.412 4.713 6.153
155 5.438 4.735 6.180
156 5.463 4.757 6.208
157 5.489 4.779 6.235
158 5.515 4.801 6.263
159 5.541 4.823 6.290
160 5.566 4.845 6.317
161 5.592 4.867 6.344
162 5.618 4.889 6.371
163 5.643 4.911 6.398
164 5.669 4.933 6.424
165 5.694 4.956 6.451
166 5.720 4.978 6.477
167 5.745 5.000 6.503
168 5.770 5.022 6.529
169 5.796 5.045 6.555
170 5.821 5.067 6.581
171 5.846 5.090 6.606
172 5.871 5.112 6.632
173 5.896 5.134 6.657
174 5.921 5.157 6.682
175 5.946 5.179 6.707
176 5.971 5.202 6.732
177 5.996 5.224 6.757
178 6.020 5.247 6.781
179 6.045 5.269 6.806
180 6.069 5.292 6.830
181 6.094 5.314 6.854
182 6.118 5.337 6.878
183 6.143 5.359 6.901
184 6.167 5.382 6.925
185 6.191 5.404 6.948
186 6.215 5.427 6.972
187 6.239 5.449 6.995
188 6.263 5.472 7.018
189 6.286 5.494 7.040
190 6.310 5.517 7.063
191 6.334 5.539 7.085
192 6.357 5.561 7.107
193 6.380 5.584 7.129
194 6.404 5.606 7.151
195 6.427 5.628 7.173
196 6.450 5.651 7.195
197 6.473 5.673 7.216
198 6.496 5.695 7.237
199 6.518 5.717 7.258
200 6.541 5.739 7.279
201 6.563 5.761 7.300
202 6.586 5.783 7.320
203 6.608 5.805 7.341
204 6.630 5.827 7.361
205 6.652 5.849 7.381
206 6.674 5.871 7.401
207 6.696 5.893 7.421
208 6.718 5.915 7.440
209 6.739 5.936 7.460
210 6.761 5.958 7.479
211 6.782 5.980 7.498
212 6.803 6.001 7.517
213 6.824 6.023 7.535
214 6.845 6.044 7.554
215 6.866 6.066 7.572
216 6.887 6.087 7.591
217 6.908 6.108 7.609
218 6.928 6.129 7.627
219 6.948 6.151 7.644
220 6.969 6.172 7.662
221 6.989 6.193 7.679
222 7.009 6.214 7.696
223 7.029 6.234 7.714
224 7.048 6.255 7.731
225 7.068 6.276 7.747
226 7.087 6.297 7.764
227 7.107 6.317 7.780
228 7.126 6.338 7.797
229 7.145 6.358 7.813
230 7.164 6.378 7.829
231 7.183 6.399 7.845
232 7.202 6.419 7.860
233 7.220 6.439 7.876
234 7.239 6.459 7.891
235 7.257 6.479 7.907
236 7.275 6.499 7.922
237 7.293 6.519 7.937
238 7.311 6.538 7.951
239 7.329 6.558 7.966
240 7.347 6.577 7.980
241 7.364 6.597 7.995
242 7.382 6.616 8.009
243 7.399 6.635 8.023
244 7.416 6.655 8.037
245 7.433 6.674 8.051
246 7.450 6.693 8.064
247 7.467 6.712 8.078
248 7.484 6.731 8.091
249 7.500 6.749 8.105
250 7.517 6.768 8.118
251 7.533 6.787 8.131
252 7.549 6.805 8.143
253 7.565 6.823 8.156
254 7.581 6.842 8.169
255 7.597 6.860 8.181
256 7.613 6.878 8.193
257 7.628 6.896 8.206
258 7.644 6.914 8.218
259 7.659 6.932 8.230
260 7.674 6.949 8.241
261 7.689 6.967 8.253
262 7.704 6.985 8.264
263 7.719 7.002 8.276
264 7.734 7.019 8.287
265 7.749 7.037 8.298
266 7.763 7.054 8.309
267 7.777 7.071 8.320
268 7.792 7.088 8.331
269 7.806 7.105 8.342
270 7.820 7.121 8.352
271 7.834 7.138 8.363
272 7.847 7.155 8.373
273 7.861 7.171 8.383
274 7.875 7.188 8.394
275 7.888 7.204 8.404
276 7.901 7.220 8.413
277 7.915 7.236 8.423
278 7.928 7.252 8.433
279 7.941 7.268 8.442
280 7.953 7.284 8.452
281 7.966 7.300 8.461
282 7.979 7.315 8.471
283 7.991 7.331 8.480
284 8.004 7.346 8.489
285 8.016 7.361 8.498
286 8.028 7.377 8.507
287 8.040 7.392 8.515
288 8.052 7.407 8.524
289 8.064 7.422 8.532
290 8.076 7.437 8.541
291 8.088 7.451 8.549
292 8.099 7.466 8.558
293 8.111 7.481 8.566
294 8.122 7.495 8.574
295 8.133 7.509 8.582
296 8.145 7.524 8.590
297 8.156 7.538 8.597
298 8.167 7.552 8.605
299 8.177 7.566 8.613
300 8.188 7.580 8.620
301 8.199 7.594 8.628
302 8.209 7.607 8.635
303 8.220 7.621 8.642
304 8.230 7.634 8.650
305 8.240 7.648 8.657
306 8.251 7.661 8.664
307 8.261 7.674 8.671
308 8.271 7.687 8.678
309 8.281 7.701 8.684
310 8.290 7.713 8.691
311 8.300 7.726 8.698
312 8.310 7.739 8.704
313 8.319 7.752 8.711
314 8.329 7.764 8.717
315 8.338 7.777 8.723
316 8.347 7.789 8.730
317 8.356 7.802 8.736
318 8.365 7.814 8.742
319 8.374 7.826 8.748
320 8.383 7.838 8.754
321 8.392 7.850 8.760
322 8.401 7.862 8.766
323 8.410 7.874 8.771
324 8.418 7.885 8.777
325 8.427 7.897 8.783
326 8.435 7.909 8.788
327 8.443 7.920 8.794
328 8.452 7.931 8.799
329 8.460 7.943 8.804
330 8.468 7.954 8.810
331 8.476 7.965 8.815
332 8.484 7.976 8.820
333 8.492 7.987 8.825
334 8.499 7.998 8.830
335 8.507 8.009 8.835
336 8.515 8.019 8.840
337 8.522 8.030 8.845
338 8.530 8.040 8.850
339 8.537 8.051 8.854
340 8.544 8.061 8.859
341 8.552 8.072 8.864
342 8.559 8.082 8.868
343 8.566 8.092 8.873
344 8.573 8.102 8.877
345 8.580 8.112 8.882
346 8.587 8.122 8.886
347 8.594 8.132 8.890
348 8.600 8.141 8.895
349 8.607 8.151 8.899
350 8.614 8.161 8.903
351 8.620 8.170 8.907
352 8.627 8.180 8.911
353 8.633 8.189 8.915
354 8.640 8.198 8.919
355 8.646 8.207 8.923
356 8.652 8.216 8.927
357 8.658 8.226 8.931
358 8.664 8.235 8.934
359 8.670 8.243 8.938
360 8.676 8.252 8.942
361 8.682 8.261 8.945
362 8.688 8.270 8.949
363 8.694 8.278 8.952
364 8.700 8.287 8.956
365 8.705 8.295 8.959
366 8.711 8.304 8.963
367 8.717 8.312 8.966
368 8.722 8.320 8.969
369 8.728 8.329 8.973
370 8.733 8.337 8.976
371 8.738 8.345 8.979
372 8.744 8.353 8.982
373 8.749 8.361 8.985
374 8.754 8.369 8.989
375 8.759 8.377 8.992
376 8.764 8.384 8.995
377 8.769 8.392 8.998
378 8.774 8.400 9.000
379 8.779 8.407 9.003
380 8.784 8.415 9.006
381 8.789 8.422 9.009
382 8.794 8.429 9.012
383 8.798 8.437 9.015
384 8.803 8.444 9.017
385 8.808 8.451 9.020
386 8.812 8.458 9.023
387 8.817 8.465 9.025
388 8.821 8.472 9.028
389 8.826 8.479 9.030
390 8.830 8.486 9.033
391 8.834 8.493 9.035
392 8.839 8.500 9.038
393 8.843 8.506 9.040
394 8.847 8.513 9.043
395 8.851 8.520 9.045
396 8.855 8.526 9.047
397 8.859 8.533 9.050
398 8.864 8.539 9.052
399 8.867 8.545 9.054
400 8.871 8.552 9.057
401 8.875 8.558 9.059
402 8.879 8.564 9.061
403 8.883 8.570 9.063
404 8.887 8.577 9.065
405 8.891 8.583 9.067
406 8.894 8.589 9.069
407 8.898 8.594 9.071
408 8.902 8.600 9.073
409 8.905 8.606 9.075
410 8.909 8.612 9.077
411 8.912 8.618 9.079
412 8.916 8.623 9.081
413 8.919 8.629 9.083
414 8.922 8.635 9.085
415 8.926 8.640 9.087
416 8.929 8.646 9.089
417 8.932 8.651 9.090
418 8.936 8.656 9.092
419 8.939 8.662 9.094
420 8.942 8.667 9.096
421 8.945 8.672 9.097
422 8.948 8.678 9.099
423 8.951 8.683 9.101
424 8.955 8.688 9.102
425 8.958 8.693 9.104
426 8.961 8.698 9.106
427 8.963 8.703 9.107
428 8.966 8.708 9.109
429 8.969 8.713 9.110
430 8.972 8.718 9.112
431 8.975 8.722 9.113
432 8.978 8.727 9.115
433 8.981 8.732 9.116
434 8.983 8.736 9.118
435 8.986 8.741 9.119
436 8.989 8.746 9.121
437 8.991 8.750 9.122
438 8.994 8.755 9.123
439 8.997 8.759 9.125
440 8.999 8.764 9.126
441 9.002 8.768 9.127
442 9.004 8.772 9.129
443 9.007 8.777 9.130
444 9.009 8.781 9.131
445 9.012 8.785 9.132
446 9.014 8.789 9.134
447 9.016 8.793 9.135
448 9.019 8.798 9.136
449 9.021 8.802 9.137
450 9.023 8.806 9.139
451 9.026 8.810 9.140
452 9.028 8.814 9.141
453 9.030 8.818 9.142
454 9.032 8.822 9.143
455 9.034 8.825 9.144
456 9.037 8.829 9.145
457 9.039 8.833 9.146
458 9.041 8.837 9.147
459 9.043 8.840 9.149
460 9.045 8.844 9.150
461 9.047 8.848 9.151
462 9.049 8.851 9.152
463 9.051 8.855 9.153
464 9.053 8.859 9.154
465 9.055 8.862 9.155
466 9.057 8.866 9.156
467 9.059 8.869 9.157
468 9.061 8.872 9.157
469 9.063 8.876 9.158
470 9.064 8.879 9.159
471 9.066 8.883 9.160
472 9.068 8.886 9.161
473 9.070 8.889 9.162
474 9.072 8.892 9.163
475 9.073 8.896 9.164
476 9.075 8.899 9.165
477 9.077 8.902 9.165
478 9.079 8.905 9.166
479 9.080 8.908 9.167
480 9.082 8.911 9.168
481 9.084 8.914 9.169
482 9.085 8.917 9.169
483 9.087 8.920 9.170
484 9.088 8.923 9.171
485 9.090 8.926 9.172
486 9.091 8.929 9.172
487 9.093 8.932 9.173
488 9.095 8.935 9.174
489 9.096 8.937 9.175
490 9.098 8.940 9.175
491 9.099 8.943 9.176
492 9.100 8.946 9.177
493 9.102 8.949 9.177
494 9.103 8.951 9.178
495 9.105 8.954 9.179
496 9.106 8.956 9.179
497 9.107 8.959 9.180
498 9.109 8.962 9.181
499 9.110 8.964 9.181
500 9.112 8.967 9.182
Source:

Gibson, A.M., Bratchell, N. and Roberts, T.A., Predicting microbial growth:  Growth responses of  Salmonellae  in a laboratory medium as affected by pH, sodium chloride, and storage temperature:  J. Food Microbiol. (1988) 6:155-178.